What is the US Dollar Index & Why is it Important? (2024)

The US Dollar Index – known as USDX, DXY, DX and USD Index – is a measure of the value of the United States Dollar (USD) against a weighted basket of currencies used by US trade partners. The index will rise if the Dollar strengthens against these currencies and fall if it weakens. Keep reading to learn more on the US Dollar Index, how it is calculated, and what affects it price.

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What is the USD Index?

The US Dollar Index was started by the Federal Reserve in 1973 and has been managed by ICE Futures US since 1985. It compares the value of the US Dollar against six currencies used by major US trade partners – the Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen (JPY), Pound Sterling (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish Krona (SEK) and Swiss Franc (CHF).

Before the Euro, the index also included five other European currencies. The Euro accounts for 57.6% of the weighted value (the same total percentage as the currencies it replaced); the Japanese Yen 13.6%; the Pound Sterling 11.9%; the Canadian Dollar 9.1%; the Swedish Krona 4.2%; and the Swiss Franc 3.6%.

The US Dollar Index was given a base value of 100.000 when it started. This means a value of 90.000 represents a -10% drop in the value of the Dollar relative to the currencies in the basket (90.000 - 100.000), while a value of 110.000 represents a +10% rise (110.000 - 100.000).

How is the US Dollar Index Calculated?

The US Dollar Index is calculated according to the following formula, which includes a USD cross for each of the six currencies in the basket:

What is the US Dollar Index & Why is it Important? (4)

Here we can see that USD is the base currency in four of the six currency pairs included, with these given a positive value for the purposes of the calculation. The Euro and Pound are the base currency for the two others, with these given a negative value.

Why is the US Dollar Index Important for Traders?

The US Dollar Index is important for traders both as a market in its own right and as it is an indicator of the relative strength of the US Dollar around the world. It can be used in technical analysis to confirm trends related to the following markets, among others:

  • Commodities priced in USD
  • Currency pairs that include the US Dollar (such as the ones used to calculate the index’s value)
  • Stocks and indexes.

Commodity prices tend to fall (at least nominally) as the Dollar increases in value – and vice versa. Currency pairs, on the other hand, generally move in the same direction as the Dollar Index if USD is the base currency, and opposite direction if it is the quote currency – though these ‘rules’ do not always hold true.

For stocks and indexes the picture is more complicated, though US exporters would generally find that their exports are less competitive internationally when the Dollar is strong, and more competitive when it is weaker – with their share prices often moving to reflect changes in the Dollar’s value.

Many traders also use the index to hedge risk – for example, offsetting some of the risk associated with a long USD/JPY trade by going short on the Dollar Index.

A Brief History of the US Dollar Index

In the 1970s, the index fluctuated between 80 and 110 as the US economy struggled through recession and rapidly rising inflation. As the Federal Reserve increased interest rates to cut inflation in the late 1970s, money flowed into the US Dollar – causing the USD Index to surge. It reached 164.720 in February 1985, its highest ever level (as of 24 October 2018).

However, such a strong Dollar caused problems for US exporters, who found that their goods were no longer as competitive internationally. As a result, the US government took action to make the currency more competitive with five countries agreeing to manipulate the Dollar in the forex markets as part of the ‘Plaza Accord’. The US Dollar Index fell by 51% over the next four years.

Since then, the US Dollar Index has tracked economic performance and liquidity flows. For example, it rose as the current account generated a surplus in the 1990s, fell as US debt levels increased in the 2000s, and rallied as investors flocked to the relative safety of the Dollar during the Great Recession.

The below chart shows some of the major events that affected the USDX price since 2005.

What is the US Dollar Index & Why is it Important? (5)

What Affects the Price of the USD Index?

The USD Index is affected by the supply of and demand for the US Dollar and currencies that make up the basket – as these factors influence the price of each currency pair in the formula used to calculate the US Dollar Index’s value.

Supply and demand for currencies is heavily influenced by the monetary policies – particularly the interest rates – set by the central bank in each country. Other factors include inflation, economic performance, credit ratings, market sentiment and foreign affairs.

How to trade the US Dollar Index

The US Dollar Index can be traded using futures and options or, where permitted, spread betting and CFD trading can also be used to speculate on whether the USDX will go up or down in price. Read more on how to trade US Dollar Index for technical strategies and tips.

Further reading on US Dollar Index

Check out the latest USD Index price with our chart and follow the latest news and analysis from our DailyFX experts.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

What is the US Dollar Index & Why is it Important? (2024)

FAQs

What is the US Dollar Index & Why is it Important? ›

The USDX allows traders and investors to monitor the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar relative to the six currencies included in the index's basket. Investors also use the dollar index as a litmus test for U.S. economic performance, particularly when it comes to imports and exports.

Why is the dollar index important? ›

What Does the Dollar Index Tell You? The dollar index tracks the relative value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of important world currencies. If the index is rising, it means that the dollar is strengthening against the basket - and vice-versa.

What does the DXY tell US? ›

The US Dollar Index – known as USDX, DXY, DX and USD Index – is a measure of the value of the United States Dollar (USD) against a weighted basket of currencies used by US trade partners. The index will rise if the Dollar strengthens against these currencies and fall if it weakens.

Why is the U.S. dollar so important to the world economy? ›

The USD remains the world's reserve currency, providing relative stability and safety compared to other currencies. The dollar also supports global trade through its role in banking and its ease of use.

What happens when DXY goes up? ›

Interpreting and Trading the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)?

Simply put, if the USDX goes up, that means the U.S. dollar is gaining strength or value when compared to the other currencies. Similarly, if the index is currently 80, falling 20 from its initial value, that implies that it has depreciated 20%.

Who is hurt by a weaker dollar? ›

A falling dollar diminishes its purchasing power internationally, and that eventually translates to the consumer level. For example, a weak dollar increases the cost to import oil, causing oil prices to rise. This means a dollar buys less gas and that pinches many consumers.

How does the dollar index affect inflation? ›

prices to changes in the dollar, most derived from data drawn largely from the 1970s, reinforce this impression Though estimates vary substantially, depending on the model and period of estimation (appendix), the con- sensus is that a 10 percent rise in the dollar's value will reduce the Consumer Price Index (CPI) ...

How does the Dollar Index affect the stock market? ›

That is because when the dollar is strong, foreign sales will convert into fewer dollars and thereby lower profits, and that often leads to falling stock prices, and vice versa.

What is the strongest currency in the world? ›

The Kuwaiti dinar continues to remain the highest currency in the world, owing to Kuwait's economic stability. The country's economy primarily relies on oil exports because it has one of the world's largest reserves.

What is the U.S. dollar backed by? ›

Prior to 1971, the US dollar was backed by gold. Today, the dollar is backed by 2 things: the government's ability to generate revenues (via debt or taxes), and its authority to compel economic participants to transact in dollars.

What happens if the world stops using the U.S. dollar? ›

If the world stops using the dollar as its reserve currency, it could have a significant impact on the U.S. stock market. A shift away from the dollar could lead to a decline in demand for U.S. financial assets, including stocks. This could result in a decrease in stock prices and potentially lead to a bear market.

Which currency is worth the most? ›

The highest-valued currency in the world is the Kuwaiti Dinar (KWD). Since it was first introduced in 1960, the Kuwaiti dinar has consistently ranked as the world's most valuable currency. Kuwait's economic stability, driven by its oil reserves and tax-free system, contributes to the high demand for its currency.

What is the most reserve currency in the world? ›

Even with de-dollarization, the U.S. dollar remains the world's currency reserve. The status is due primarily to the fact that countries accumulated so much of it and that it was still the most stable and liquid form of exchange.

Why is DXY important? ›

The index was created to help traders understand how strong or weak the U.S. dollar is in relation to foreign currencies such as the Euro, Canadian Dollar, and Japanese Yen.

What happens when DXY is low? ›

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) tracks the dollar's strength against the currencies of the U.S.' most significant trading partners. Traditionally, when the dollar has weakened, it has been an indicator that EM stocks have performed better relative to U.S. stocks.

What happens to stocks when the U.S. dollar goes up? ›

The dollar and the S&P 500 have often had a negative correlation in the past three years, meaning that when the dollar rises, stocks fall. From April to October 2022, the dollar surged and the S&P 500 plummeted. It happened again from late July to late October of last year.

Why is it important that the U.S. dollar is strong? ›

The Bottom Line

A strong dollar allows U.S. consumers to purchase goods and services from overseas for less than if the dollar was weaker. It also helps compensate for rising inflation by keeping purchasing power from dropping too much.

How does the dollar index affect stocks? ›

Stock indexes tend to rise along with an increase in the value of the U.S. dollar. More important to an investor is the impact of the dollar's rise or fall on the individual stocks they own. Companies that rely on imports thrive when the U.S. dollar is strong.

What happens to trade when the dollar is strong? ›

In terms of its impact, a strong dollar means that goods exported by the U.S. are relatively pricier for foreign customers to buy, while imports to the U.S. are relatively cheap. A weak dollar means American consumers must spend more dollars to buy the same imported goods but are a relative bargain abroad.

How does the dollar index affect commodities? ›

Typically, commodity prices are inversely related to the value of the dollar, meaning that prices drop when the dollar strengthens against other major currencies. Conversely, prices generally move up when the value of the dollar weakens.

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