Can Tesla stock reach $1,000?
It's unlikely Tesla's returns going forward will come anywhere near resembling the last five years. So, investors shouldn't expect a $1,000 price per share by the end of the decade.
As of March 28, 2024, the price of Tesla's stock was $175.79. Ten years ago, at market close on March 28, 2014, Tesla's stock was trading at $14.16 per share. This means that $10,000 invested in Tesla in March 2014 would be worth about $124,145 today.
TSLA Stock 12 Month Forecast
Based on 34 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Tesla in the last 3 months. The average price target is $184.86 with a high forecast of $310.00 and a low forecast of $22.86.
Tesla Stock Forecast 2024 & 2025
They believe an upside scenario for the stock over the next 12 to 24 months could be ~$300 using a multiple of 50x to 60x applied to the company's 2026E EPS, while a downside scenario could be ~$65 to $85 using a multiple of 30x applied to Tesla's 2024 EPS.
He forecasts Tesla stock to gain about 550% to hit $1,200 a share by 2030, and for SpaceX to triple in valuation over the same period, according to a recent interview conducted by Bloomberg. Baron runs the Baron Focused Growth Fund, which counted Tesla and SpaceX as its largest holdings as of December 31, 2023.
This means that your $1,000 10 years ago — technically, $1,002 — would have bought 60 shares of Tesla. As of Mar. 3, 2024, those 60 shares of Tesla would be worth $12,158.40. That marks a 28.342% annual rate of return.
If You'd Invested $1,000 in Tesla 5 Years Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have Today. I won't keep you in suspense. The answer is: $8,862.79. That's how much money you'd have today if you had invested $1,000 in Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock five years ago -- and it's a pretty nice return, right?
Tesla (TSLA) stock is down more than 30% so far in 2024, but Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood thinks "now is not the time to run for the hills." In fact, Ark has been buying the stock and thinks it could rise to $2,000 per share in the next five years, representing an increase of more than 1,000% from today's levels.
The S&P 500 index had an average annual return of 11.8% between 1957 and 2021. If Tesla stock were to grow at this average rate until 2040, TSLA stock would be worth $1,541 in 2040. This would be more than 4x the stock's current all-time high price of $407.
Long-term predictions suggest Tesla stock could hit highs of $3,035 (S&P 500 growth rate) or potentially soar to $8,015 (QTEC growth rate) by 2050.
Will Tesla stock go down to $100?
However, if Ives' own 2024 recovery forecast for Tesla fails to play out, it is very much possible that TSLA stock slides to $125 per share, $100 per share, or down to double-digit price levels. If this moment arrives, and it's not just the fair weather fans losing faith, consider this the time to pounce.
Analyst Forecasts
Currently, 32 Wall Street analysts follow Tesla stock, and they have a consensus “buy” rating on the company. Their average 12-month price target is $207.30, marking a potential gain one year out of about 27%.
Tesla (TSLA) stock is angling lower in 2024, falling around 30% as analysts project 2024 vehicle deliveries could undercut last year's total with profit forecasts continuing to fall ahead of first-quarter earnings.
And we haven't yet factored in perma-bull Cathie Wood of Ark Invest, who has set a base case 2027 target price of $2,000 on Tesla. Even her bear case target price is $1,400, while the bull case target price is $2,500.
| Years Old | Depreciation | Residual Value |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | $32,572 | 45.01% |
| 8 | $37,340 | 36.96% |
| 9 | $40,959 | 30.85% |
| 10 | $43,328 | 26.85% |
Historical daily share price chart and data for Tesla since 2010 adjusted for splits and dividends. The latest closing stock price for Tesla as of April 19, 2024 is 147.05. The all-time high Tesla stock closing price was 409.97 on November 04, 2021.
Meanwhile, even as Tesla might not be able to sell 20 million cars annually by 2030, its long-term forecast looks bullish. Ron Baron expects the stock to hit $1,500 by 2030, while Cathie Wood - who's arguably the biggest Tesla bull - has set a base case 2027 target price of $2,000 on Tesla.
In other words, a $10,000 investment in Tesla's IPO in 2010 would now be worth a staggering $2,643,178. For those of you keeping score at home, this equates to a 26,332% increase in value in just over 12 years.
If you had invested $1,000 into Apple five years ago, your investment would be worth about $3,916 now — nearly tripling in value, according to CNBC's calculations.
Tesla's below-average operational and financial risk scores pull the overall risk score below the sector average.
Is Tesla stock likely to recover?
“Tesla first quarter 2024 [is] likely the bottom,” wrote New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu in a Thursday report. He expects first-quarter deliveries to come in around 420,000 units, but also expects delivery growth and a recovery in profit margins later in 2024. Investors hope that's the case.
Tesla shares have fallen by roughly one-third since peaking at $381.50 in November 2021 and currently trade near $248. If you had invested $1 in Tesla 12 years ago, you would have $128.33 today, according to My Wall Street's calculations as of Sept. 8.
That's Bearish. ARK Invest's Cathie Wood reiterated her call that Tesla stock is worth $2,000 early Wednesday. It's a huge number, but there's a problem: Her call hasn't gone up in nearly a year.
Tesla stock has been tumbling. ARK Invest's Cathie Wood has been buying more shares. It's been a tough year so far for Tesla.
The downgrade comes as the overall EV market has cooled and competition has intensified, developments that have led Tesla to announce a series of price cuts to boost demand. Those price cuts are having little effect on Tesla's sales and are pushing down profits, Wells Fargo analysts led by Colin Langan said in a note.
